Getting past all the pious breast-beating and political gas of the last week or so, I think we might be well served by extracting some lessons from a true regional catastrophe like hurricane Katerina. Most of the lessons are, however, rather grim so if you’re not in a cheery mood maybe you should come back later to read on.
1. The engineers were right. Engineers and scientists for 30 years pointed out that New Orleans and its surrounding coastal areas were desperately vulnerable to hurricane flooding, and these warnings were utterly ignored in every detail. Most of the money that was appropriated was diverted to other uses. What little money was spent went into substandard and under-engineered levees and other structures that failed almost immediately when their design load was placed on them. So, laugh at the pocket protectors if you want to, but pay attention to them. So far, anyway, engineers answer only to physical reality, not to political pounding.
2. Local and state level government agencies are probably not up to coping with such a catastrophe. This is a general political failing. These were the people who just passed by over the years and I guess hoped that the boom would fall on somebody else’s watch. They treated it like a game of musical chairs rather than a serious public safety challenge. The single most incapable actor in ths drama was Mayor Ray Nagin, who managed to get himself trapped incommunicado at the height of the catastrophe and since then has done nothing but try to pass the blame on to others. Oh, and he was recently re-elected.
3. The Federal government will not come to help you. This isn’t just that FEMA completely failed as an organization, it means that, at least for the Bush administration, that if there’s a problem like this, its up to you (individually, locally, and state-ly) to prepare to save yourself as best you can, and ultimately to recover by yourself or through your own resources. Philosophically the current administration believes that to shelter people from bad decisions (such as electing incompetent politicans, or being too crippled to be able to move, or not leaving when they could) is not to help them, that people need to learn to be self-suficient.
4. Unless, of course, you are a politically-connected business. Although vast sums of money have been appropriated for relief and rebuilding, only a small fraction of it has been released and spent. Maybe this isn’t such a bad thing, considering the monstrous fraud that accompanied the initial FEMA relief expenditures. But actually, there are thousands of tons of debris that remain basically where it fell, so whole neighborhoods are by default uninhabitable. A significant fraction of the relief moneys have gone into relatively worthless “enterprise zones” where Friends of the Administration have set up businesses exempt from taxation and some wage and environmental rules, under the banner of employing the locals — but in jobs that pay significantly less than anything they were making before.
So, then, in the current socio-political environment, what we can say is that when a widely-predicted catastrophe actually occurs, if the local governmental agencies fail, the Feds will turn their backs, in spite of all the puffing and blowing by the pols. Is this really what we want?
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